
Gold outlook: downhill or second wind?
Gold outlook: downhill or second wind? The World Gold Council has released its Gold Mid-Year Outlook, as the metal continues its record-setting pace, rising 26% in US dollar terms in H1 CY25. A combination of a weaker US dollar, rangebound rates and a highly uncertain geoeconomic environment has driven this strong investment demand. The paper examines the base, bull and bear cases for gold in H2 CY25. The World Gold Council forecasts that under current consensus expectations for continued normalisation gold could remain rangebound in H2, closing roughly 0%–5% higher than current levels, still equivalent to a 25%–30% annual return Should economic and/or financial conditions deteriorate further, under the bull case, exacerbating...








