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Fortescue makes moves in Gabon, delivers record iron ore output
Economics & Commodity Prices
Fortescue makes moves in Gabon, delivers record iron ore output
Fortescue makes moves in Gabon, delivers record iron ore output Despite an increase in operating costs, Fortescue (ASX: FMG) has delivered record iron ore shipments and landed within production guidance for Q2 FY26.The company shipped 50.5mt throughout the quarter, bringing total shipments for the H1 FY26 to 100.2mt — a 3% year-on-year (YoY) increase.Unit costs rose 5% on Q1 prices to $28 /wmt, predominantly due to higher diesel prices and a weaker exchange rate, but the company’s full year guidance remains unchanged.The company’s Pilbara hematite iron ore was reaching about $140 /dmt while higher-grade product from the Iron Bridge operations was hitting about $180 /dmt for the quarter.Fortescue metals and operations chief executive Dino Otranto says the company has had a record first half for FY26.“This was achieved safely and sets us up well heading into the second half to meet our FY26 shipments and cost guidance,” he said.Fortescue also advanced operations at its Belinga iron ore project in Gabon, Africa following successful senior level visits. A Presidential Taskforce has now been established to streamline the planning and delivery of the Belinga iron ore project.The project was acquired in 2021 but has been slow to start for several reasons, including the deposit’s isolated location and lack of supporting infrastructure.Fortescue is set to deliver a feasibility study in December 2026 and start shipping ore by 2030.Fortescue continued to diversify and bolster its critical minerals strategy during the quarter with the acquisition of the remaining 64% of Peruvian copper miner Alta Copper for $152m.Fortescue growth and energy chief executive Gus Pichot says the company continues to make disciplined progress across its global growth portfolio of metals, critical minerals, energy and technology opportunities.“In line with our critical minerals strategy, this quarter we entered into a binding agreement to acquire the remaining 64% of Alta Copper’s shares,” he said.“Fortescue will apply its strong track record of project delivery and well-established technical, permitting and community engagement expertise to diversify and expand our copper portfolio and exploration footprint in Latin America.”During the quarter, Fortescue also reached an important milestone with delivery of its first large-scale battery energy storage system at North Star Junction.“With a total capacity of 250MWh, this installation marks the first step in a planned 4-5GWh rollout of energy storage required to support the decarbonisation of our operations over the coming years,” Mr Otranto said.
FY26 exploration expenditure remains unchanged at $225m.
Projects & Operations
Northern Star slashes guidance as sales take a hit
Northern Star slashes guidance as sales take a hit Northern Star (ASX: NST) has revised FY26 production and cost guidance following lower gold sales across its three production centres in the December quarter.FY26 group all-in sustaining cost (AISC) guidance was increased to $2600–2800/oz from $2300–2700/oz, predominantly driven by lower gold sales and higher royalties from elevated gold prices.FY26 production guidance has been lowered to 1600-1700koz, from 1700-1850koz, with Northern Star citing a number of one-off operational events.Northern Star managing director Stuart Tonkin comments on the December quarter performance.“As previously announced, a number of one-off operational events across our assets resulted in a softer December quarter and prompted us to revise FY26 production and cost guidance,” he said.“Looking ahead, our team remains firmly focused on driving productivity improvements and strengthening cost discipline.“The December quarter delivered positive advances at our two key growth projects that will structurally reshape our cost base and support delivery of higher-margin ounces.”KCGM’s December quarter gold sales were impacted by lower throughput after a primary crusher failure, with normal operations resuming in early January.At Yandal, Jundee recovery works took longer than planned with up to a 20koz impact. Thunderbox was hit by lower mined grades, unplanned processing downtime and reduced recoveries linked to carbon-in-leach tank failures, as well as ventilation fan downtime that affected underground volumes and mill feed grades.At Pogo, grades fell due to new mining areas and higher dilution, before improving late in the quarter, while lower gold sales also pushed up unit AISC.Northern Star has also lifted its KCGM Mill Expansion capex from $530–550m to $640–660m. The project remains on track for early FY27 commissioning.
Greatland remains on track to complete the largest annual drilling program in Telfer’s operating history, with about 240,000m total drilling planned in FY26.
Projects & Operations
Wyloo snaps up remaining Greatland stake
Wyloo snaps up remaining Greatland stake Wyloo will acquire Newmont’s (ASX: NEM) remaining interest in Greatland (ASX: GGP), lifting its holding to 18.13% as gold prices push past $7200 amid geopolitical tensions.Greatland is developing the Havieron project and working to extend mine life at Telfer, both of which it acquired from Newmont in 2024.Wyloo has secured the remaining stake for about $3/share while Greatland currently trades at $13.32, building on a call option struck alongside the 2024 acquisition.Wyloo chief executive Luca Giacovazzi says the decision reflects strong confidence in Greatland and the long-term value of its broader vision.“We are proud to continue deepening our partnership with Greatland as its largest shareholder. We believe in the company’s disciplined approach, the quality of its assets and the capability of its team,” he said.“Greatland is emerging as a leading multi-asset gold and copper producer with the potential to become one of the most significant mining companies on the ASX.“We believe there is substantial value yet to be unlocked from Havieron and Telfer, and we look forward to continuing our support as Greatland drives operational excellence and delivers disciplined, sustainable growth.”Greatland has reported promising results from its second quarter of Telfer’s record drilling program, including the highest grade West Dome Underground drilling results to date.
In October, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese and US President Donald signed a landmark bilateral framework agreement to secure critical minerals and rare earths mining and processing outside of China.
International
US-based critical minerals company to acquire Australian Strategic Materials
US-based critical minerals company to acquire Australian Strategic Materials Energy Fuels is set to acquire Australian Strategic Materials (ASX: ASM) for about $447m.The companies have entered into a binding scheme implementation deed with the goal of creating a near-term Western “mine to metal & alloy” supply chain delivering heavy and light rare earths.This closely follows new details emerging of the $1.2b Critical Minerals Strategic Reserve (CMSR), with the Federal Government confirming antimony, gallium and rare earth elements as early priorities.Under the scheme, each ASM shareholder will receive a total implied value of $1.60/share.The board of directors of ASM unanimously recommends that shareholders vote in favour of the schemeASM managing director and chief executive Rowena Smith comments on the proposal.“This proposed combination delivers a significant premium for ASM shareholders and ensures our shareholders retain the opportunity to participate in the substantial upside of a larger, better capitalised critical minerals business,” she said.“We are pleased to recommend this transaction not only for the value it delivers but it accelerates the execution of our mine to metals strategy in a way that unlocks greater scale, de-risks delivery and positions us to capture the full potential of our rare-earths opportunity.”Through the acquisition, ASM would gain exposure to Energy Fuels’ significant experience in solvent extraction at the White Mesa Mill in Utah, which has been in operation for 45 years.The company would also be positioned to capitalise on US Government funding and incentive options, with the combined business strongly aligning with the objectives of the recent US-Australian Critical Minerals Framework.
Rio beats estimates despite China pressure
Economics & Commodity Prices
Rio beats estimates despite China pressure
Rio beats estimates despite China pressure Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) reported record iron ore and copper production during Q4 CY25 — a successful first quarter for recently ascended chief executive Simon Trott.The company recorded a 4% increase in year-on-year (YoY) production and a 7% rise in YoY shipment number, exporting 91.3mt of iron ore during the quarter, most of which was bound for China.Another milestone in Rio’s iron ore business was achieved during the quarter with the highly anticipated inaugural cargo from the Simandou iron ore project leaving Guinea, Africa.Rio reported that mine operations bounced back from cyclone impacts in Q1, recovering 9mt of the 13mt of output lost due to cyclone, to ship a total 326.2mt for 2025 — meeting the company’s guidance of 323mt to 338mt.Rio’s realised iron ore prices for the quarter were up 1% contrasted to BHP (ASX: BHP), who, earlier this week, reported it had agreed to lower prices for some iron ore sales while still undertaking negotiations with China for a 2026 supply deal.Rio Tinto chief executive Simon Trott says operations delivered exceptional production performance, both on a quarter-on-quarter and full year basis.“We achieved record quarterly iron ore production in the Pilbara, with a strong recovery from the extreme weather interruptions earlier in the year,” he said.“At Simandou, we celebrated the major milestone of first shipment from the port — a testament to our ability to deliver major growth projects.”There are a number of hurdles iron ore majors will face this year, with steel demand forecast to fall 1.5%, according to China Metallurgical Industry Planning and Research Institute (MPI), likely having resonating effects on global iron ore markets.Stockpiles at China’s ports are also rising rapidly. According to Shanghai SteelHome E-Commerce Co, there is at least 155mt of iron ore now stockpiled at Chinese ports — the highest level since April 2024 — suggesting further demand softening.Diversified assets deliver strong resultsUnderpinned by the ramp up at Oyu Tolgoi, annual copper production rose 11% YoY, exceeding the top end of Rio’s increased guidance range, and shipments increased 5%.Rio’s bauxite and lithium operations also finished the year strong, supported by record quarterly production from lithium assets in Argentina and bauxite production reaching 15.4mt in Q4 CY25.“Record copper production continues following delivery of our Oyu Tolgoi underground project, another demonstration of our unique and diverse project capabilities,” Mr Trott said.“In lithium, we achieved production growth from our operations and in-flight projects as planned in 2025, as we build out our high-quality portfolio with discipline.“Implementation of our stronger, sharper, simpler way of working continues, and is delivering results and creating value.”Rio is currently in preliminary takeover talks with Glencore and its strong quarter results could bolster its standing. Rio has until February 5 to make a formal offer for Glencore.
Jansen Stage 1, which is expected to deliver about 4.15mtpa, is now 75% complete.
Projects & Operations
BHP’s Canadian potash bill hits $12.5b after second cost reset
BHP’s Canadian potash bill hits $12.5b after second cost reset BHP (ASX: BHP) has lifted the forecast cost of Jansen Stage 1 to $12.5b (US$8.4b), up from the initial $8.4b ($US5.7b) estimate in August 2021.The increase follows a July 2025 budget update which put the cost in the $10.4-$11b (US$7b-7.4b) range. At the time, BHP said the cost increases had been driven by inflationary and real cost escalation pressures, design development and scope changes and lower productivity outcomes.BHP says the latest uplift has been driven by construction hours and materials that were not included in previous estimates.First production has reverted to the original schedule and is now expected in mid CY27.The miner expects to update the market on the investment expenditure estimate for Jansen Stage 2 in Q4 FY26.BHP says the project has the potential for two additional expansions to reach an ultimate production capacity of 16-17mtpa.In other commodities, BHP saw strong operational performance and guidance upgrades for H1 FY26.BHP has increased its FY26 production guidance range for copper to 1900kt – 2000kt, with the miner hoping to capitalise on a 32% increase in copper prices.BHP chief executive Mike Henry says the company is investing for the decade ahead, with a significant copper growth pipeline and a pathway to about 2mt of attributable copper production in the 2030s.“We have increased FY26 group copper production guidance off the back of stronger delivery across our assets,” he said.“Our flagship copper operation, Escondida, achieved record concentrator throughput and we have increased the FY26 production guidance range.“Antamina has also lifted its production guidance, and Spence and Copper SA are tracking to plan, with Copper SA achieving record refined gold output.”In iron ore, WAIO achieved record H1 FY26 production and shipments despite ongoing negotiations with China Mineral Resources Group (CMRG).Volumes from Samarco increased as a result of stronger performance at the second concentrator following ramp up, and higher feed grades and recoveries.BHP’s steelmaking coal production in Q2 FY26 was down 12% from Q1 due to ongoing geotechnical challenges impacting underground performance and higher rainfall which impacted stripping.
Hancock Prospecting re-enters Saudi Arabia
International
Hancock Prospecting re-enters Saudi Arabia
Hancock Prospecting re-enters Saudi Arabia  Hancock Prospecting has become the first Australian company to enter a joint venture (JV) with Saudi Arabia’s largest miner, Maaden. The Gina Rinehart owned company made a successful bid for five exploration licenses in the Nabita Ad-Duwayhi Gold-Belt, where the Hancock Maaden joint venture will conduct its initial exploration activities. The joint venture will conduct exploration, development, mining, sales and marketing of minerals in licensed areas in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. Celebrating the agreement, member of the Hancock team attended the Future Mines Forum in Riyadh during a Round 9 licence award ceremony earlier this month. Hancock prospecting executive chairman Gina Rinehart says the company strives to be the best miner in Australia and will now be working with Saudi Arabia with great enthusiasm.  “Our company group brings substantial experience across exploration, project development and operations — including the rare distinction of building the $15b mega Roy project both on time and on budget, a project built successfully in record time and including some of the world’s largest mining equipment.” Maaden chief executive Bob Wilt says the company has been actively ramping up its exploration efforts across the Kingdom. “Working in partnership with Hancock, this program will speed up discovery,” he said. “It also ensures we can build, develop and operate at pace and scale, all while developing a talent pipeline and a global mineral hub.” In December, Saudi Arabia granted exploration licenses worth $100m to local and international companies, including Hancock Prospecting, for its first mineral belts at Jabal Sayid and Al-Hajjar. These two sites, covering a combined area of 4,788km2, are part of the Ministry of Industry and Mineral Resources’ efforts to accelerate the exploration and development of the Kingdom’s estimated $2.48t (SR9.3t) in mineral resources.  

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