Rio and Glencore at it again with mega merger talks
Rio and Glencore at it again with mega merger talks
Mining majors Rio Tinto (ASX: RIO) and Glencore have confirmed they have entered preliminary takeover discussions for a merger that could create the world’s largest resources company.This is not the first time Rio and Glencore have been in merger negotiations. In 2024, discussions between the companies were unsuccessful due to valuation, leadership and cultural differences after Glencore sought a merger ratio of about 40%, implying a premium of more than 25% based on valuation at the time, and pushed for chief executive Gary Nagle to lead the combined company. If successful, the merger would be the latest major transaction seen by the sector following last year’s Anglo American $85b merger and acquisition with Canadian copper miner Teck Resources. The current preliminary discussions are exploring possible combinations of some or all of the businesses, which could include an all-share merger between the companies. Copper appears to be the focal point of the merger as Rio moves towards becoming a global copper leader and acquiring Glencore’s substantial copper assets, including its Mount Isa operations in Queensland, aligns strategically with this shift. This news is the latest in a wave of copper acquisitions as companies around the world look to take advantage of growing global demand and soaring prices. Rio has been advancing its copper portfolio, including ramping up operations at Oyu Tolgoi in Mongolia and pushing progress at Resolution Copper in the US. Rio expects to produce about 870,000t of copper in FY26, underpinned by production at its Oyu Tolgoi — which is anticipated to reach peak production of 500,000tpa in its lifetime — as well as its copper assets across the Americas. Glencore’s copper outlook for FY26 is almost identical, with production expected to reach between 810,000 - 870,000t, and has a bullish growth outlook of 1.6mtpa by 2035. Despite the shift in focus to copper, there is little synergy between the two miners' current operations — with iron ore forming the backbone of Rio’s business and Glencore remaining one of the world’s largest coal producers. Considering Rio unloaded the last of its coal assets in 2018 following investor pressure, how Glencore’s significant coal assets will align with Rio’s future is yet to be determined. Though there is no certainty that an agreement will be reached, Rio has until February 5 to make a formal offer to Glencore.